Saturday, September 29, 2012
Ari Shavit - The pot calling the kettle black . Why doesn’t Ari Shavit interview Bernard Lewis, Raphael Israeli or Matthias Kuntzel?
In his latest article in THE COUNTDOWN series titled Iran is here, Ari Shavit writes: “There are no good people and bad people in the face of Natanz, only those who see and those who are blind”.
‘Thirteen people were interviewed for the series: Moshe Ya’alon, Isaac Ben-Israel, Yehezkel Dror, Uzi Arad, Giora Eiland, Kobi Richter, Yossi Beilin, Ephraim Sneh, Efraim Halevy, Tzachi Hanegbi, Amos Yadlin, a former senior official from the Atomic Energy Agency and a well-known decision-maker.”
Ari Shavit is among the blind. He is among the blind because of the thirteen people whom he interviewed NONE were scholars of Islam. When PM Netanyahu in his speech to the UN General Assembly quoted Bernard Lewis "He said that for the Ayatollahs of Iran, mutually assured destruction is not a deterrent, it’s an inducement" how many Israelis knew what he was talking about? Very few. Very few because Ari Shavt failed to interview the only people who really know the magnitude of the Iranian threat.
Ari Shavit continues..
“He [Netyanyahu] did not make the required political moves to accord his government domestic legitimacy. Even as he engaged in brinkmanship vis-a-vis
Iran, he also engaged in brinkmanship vis-a-vis
the Israeli security establishment and local public opinion. Suddenly,
therefore, the tables were turned. Instead of United States Iran
being perceived as an evil power undermining the world order, began to
be perceived as a crazy state threatening world peace.” Israel
And why does the world perceive
as a crazy state threatening world peace?
Precisely because the world press, including Ari Shavit, refused to discuss
Shia eschatology, the Mahdi and the Twelvers,
and refused to interview scholars who
would have informed them. Israel
Ari Shavit writes.” Instead of the
United States and Israel
working together against Iran,
the United States and began to
work against each other." Israel
What Ari Shavit omits is to explain how is Nathayhu supposed to trust the Obama administration which supports the Muslim Brotherhood, the most anti-Semitic and anti American organization? Here is former federal prosecutor Andrew McCarthy on the Obama administration and the Muslim brotherhood.
Ari Shavit should pack his bags and fly to
and interview Bernard Lewis instead
of complaining how everyone is blind. Philadelphia
It’s clear: one way or another,
to change our lives. If Iran Iran
becomes a nuclear power, Israel
will be forced to become a fortress state with high walls around it in order to
stand fast in a nuclearized, radicalized Middle East
that will pose a threat to its very existence. There will be no chance for
peace and no prospect of normality: we will become as . If Sparta Israel
tries to curb
by means of a military attack, it will find itself in a missile war that will
strike at the home front as the home front has never been struck before.
Israeli society will undergo a severe trauma for which it is unprepared,
morally or mentally. Iran
If it is the
United States that
finally stops Iran by the
use of force, that move will likely exact high prices from . To
counterbalance a violent assault against a Muslim power, the Israel
will have to engage in political acts against the Jewish state which are liable
to damage Israeli security assets. It follows that the question of United States is not an
abstract strategic issue but a question of real life. The answer to that
question is going to influence the way of life and the course of life of each
and every one of us. Iran Iran is
not out there somewhere, beyond the hills of darkness; Iran is here, in every bar in Tel Aviv and in
every housing project in Be’er Sheva and in every moshav in the Galilee.
The problem of
is not an ideological problem and not a moral problem − it is an attentiveness
are no good people and bad people in the face of Natanz, only those who see and
those who are blind. The far-reaching implications of the challenge posed by Iran ’s nuclear
project were known a decade ago. Already a decade ago it was clear that Iran ’s
cardinal mission was not to arrive at a bomb-or-bombing crossroads. But Israel refused
to internalize the Iranian challenge. Israel
The strategic establishment addressed it and the intelligence community coped with it, but the broad public repressed it. As the Iranian threat did not entail an immediate price or concrete consequences, it remained amorphous. It was not part of the political debate or the public discourse. It had no concrete place in our concrete life. The psychological difficulty of looking head-on at
Iran brought about a situation in which the good
decade, in which it was possible to stop without resorting to force,
was allowed to slip by. Iran
The attentiveness deficit was not confined to
. By the middle of the last
decade, all the Western intelligence agencies were already quite familiar with
the Iranian nuclear project. All the leaders in the West understood that Israel Iran was seriously threatening the United States, Europe
and the entire world order. But Western public opinion was not capable of
coping with the challenge, either psychologically or conceptually. The Western
elites turned their back on . Iran
The Western leaders therefore lacked a political context which would enable them to act with determination against
Because the Iranian threat was not a tomorrow-morning thing, dealing with it
was put off and fudged. No crippling sanctions were imposed on Iran in time.
No deal was struck with Iran Russia
could be subjected to a true political-economic blockade. Khamenei was not
presented with a credible ultimatum of nuclearization or survival. For the past
decade, Iran Tehran has faced a weak and flaccid West
which has been unable to block ’s
nuclear project. Iran
The attentiveness problems of both
and the West stemmed from the same source: the intoxication of success. For 40
years, the Israelis have lived quite a good life under the safety net which
Dimona cast over them. For that very reason, they are not aware of the great
debt they owe to Israel ’s
regional strategic monopoly. Nor are they aware of the jolting consequences
liable to ensue if the monopoly is shattered. Israel
The Americans and Europeans are in the same boat: for the past 67 years they have lived a life of peace and wellbeing under the safety net cast over them in the form of the West’s overwhelming nuclear superiority. For that very reason they are not aware of the great debt they owe to that situation of superiority, which ensures that they do not face a concrete nuclear threat. Nor are they aware of the jolting consequences liable to ensue if Western strategic superiority is undercut and a Shiite nuclear threat emerges, which will have a direct effect on the good life in
Paris, Berlin, London and . New York
So, the Iranian nuclear issue is like a baobab tree. In its early stages of its growth there was no difficulty in chopping it down. But in the advanced stages there was no general mobilization to fell it. The disparity between Iranian stamina and Israeli and Western lethargy played into the hands of the Iranians. The disparity between the focus, tenacity and sophistication of the ayatollahs, and the lack of focus, lack of tenacity and the lassitude of the democracies allowed the clerics of darkness to get the best of the enlightened statesmen. As a result of the attentiveness deficit of
and of the West, there was
no timely political prevention and no timely economic prevention. Israel
Another result was that a belief developed in the power of clandestine prevention which was as naive as it was false. Owing to a severe blindness, brought on by a deep mental and cultural weakness, the baobab tree was not uprooted in the years when uprooting was possible. Instead of curbing
the United States became
entangled in Iraq and . Afghanistan was
preoccupied with settlements instead of being preoccupied with centrifuges. Israel Europe froze as though crippled. Both the international
community and the Jewish state watched the horrifying tree of the Iranian
nuclear project growing before their eyes, helpless to stunt its growth.
Thus, Benjamin Netanyahu’s great contribution to the struggle against the Iranian nuclear project was to inject attentiveness. In contrast to many others, Bibi understood
internalized Iran and was
totally focused on .
From the day he entered the Prime Minister’s Bureau it was clear that the
mission of his life was to thwart Iranian nuclearization. With that end in
mind, he formed the odd coalition with Ehud Barak. To block the Iranian nuclear
project he capitulated to the ultra-Orthodox, neglected the economy and ignored
social problems. To block the Iranian nuclear project, he created an Israeli
military option in which vast financial resources were invested. To block the
Iranian nuclear project, he made sophisticated use of the military option. Iran
Indeed, during 2011 and at the beginning of 2012 the Netanyahu strategy produced impressive results. After long years of do-nothingness, the Iranian issue rose to the top of the global agenda. The West woke up. The
United States promised to prevent a nuclear and
prepared a military capability which can actualize that commitment. Europe
imposed harsh sanctions on Iran .
Not for fear of Ahmadinejad, but for fear that Netanyahu would strike at
Ahmadinejad the international community started to place obstacles in the way
of the Iranian president. Iran
However, at a certain point something went awry. Netanyahu went too far and overdid the pressure. He did not try to persuade the West but only threatened the West. He did not make the necessary political concessions to accord
international legitimacy. He did not make the required political moves to accord his
government domestic legitimacy. Even as he engaged in brinkmanship vis-a-vis Israel Iran, he also engaged in brinkmanship vis-a-vis
the Israeli security establishment and local public opinion. Suddenly, therefore,
the tables were turned. Instead of United States Iran
being perceived as an evil power undermining the world order, began to
be perceived as a crazy state threatening world peace. Israel
Instead of the
United States and Israel working together against Iran, the United
States and began to work against each
other. Instead of a wedge being driven between the government and the people in
Israel , a wedge
was driven between the government and the people in Tel Aviv. Netanyahu became
completely isolated. The pistol with which he threatened Tehran and
threatened the world had no bullets. Iran
Netanyahu’s strategy was based on two fundamental concepts. One was the Iranian zone of immunity (which obliges action against
before it succeeds in implanting its nuclear project deep underground where it
will be invulnerable).
The second was the Israeli zone of immunity (which was the only period of time in which Iran Israel could act against Iran without the blocking it). Netanyahu believed that the two zones of immunity brought
about a situation in which zero hour was now. Only in the summer-autumn of 2012
would it still be possible to stop United States . Only in the summer-autumn of
2012 would an Israeli action be possible, both operationally and politically.
If Iran Israel did not vanquish this year,
it would not be able to do so in the coming years, Netanyahu believed. The
country’s fate would no longer be in its own hands but in the hands of others. Iran
No one knows whether Netanyahu and Barak truly intended to attack this year or whether they intended to parlay the attack at the last minute into a firm international commitment that would render an attack superfluous. However, it is perfectly clear that Netanyahu, at least, planned to bring the crisis to a peak before the American presidential elections. Those who think that the prime minister tried to topple President Obama are mistaken. Netanyahu tried to exploit the political vulnerability of candidate Obama to recruit him willy-nilly for the campaign against
But that goal, too, eluded Netanyahu. Beginning in the spring, the American
president stopped heeding his threats. The hold-me-back strategy boomeranged.
International attentiveness was again lost. The Israeli zone of immunity that
Netanyahu tried to build with such great labor collapsed on his head. Iran
Four months ago, Haaretz Magazine launched the Countdown series of articles. The series was intended to serve as a platform for a high-quality, untainted, businesslike discussion of the Iranian issue. It tried to go beyond militancy and beyond passions and beyond the personal squabbles in order to present Haaretz readers with a broad range of thoughts about
. Thirteen people were
interviewed for the series: Moshe Ya’alon, Isaac Ben-Israel, Yehezkel Dror, Uzi
Arad, Giora Eiland, Kobi Richter, Yossi Beilin, Ephraim Sneh, Efraim Halevy,
Tzachi Hanegbi, Amos Yadlin, a former senior official from the Atomic Energy Agency
and a well-known decision-maker. Two or three vigorously supported an attack,
three firmly opposed an attack and the others expressed complex viewpoints. Iran
However, the majority of the interviewees agreed that the hub of
Israel’s Iranian strategy must be close
cooperation with the . Almost all the interviewees agreed
that cooperation of this sort was not achieved in the past few years and that a
supreme effort must be made to achieve it in the immediate future. Even though
the majority of the interviews suggested implicitly that Netanyahu and Barak
took a sharp and focused view of the Iranian challenge, they also suggested
that the two had focused inordinately on the Israeli military option. They
failed to prepare world and Israeli public opinion for a clash with United
States Iran and they did not prepare properly
for the ordeal ahead. Israel
Iran decision is probably the most difficult
will have to make in this generation. In a number of senses it resembles the
Dimona decision. As with Dimona, so with Israel : the risks are enormous in
either direction. As with Dimona, so with Iran : a distinctive combination of
boldness, responsibility and creativity is required. Cooperation is needed with
the Western powers, but at the same time Iran must be able to stand up to
the Western powers. It is necessary to mobilize all the national resources,
devise singular solutions and exercise wise and far-sighted leadership.
However, while young Israel Israel
displayed model behavior regarding Dimona, when it came to Natanz and Fordow,
behaved awkwardly and confusedly. Tremendous deeds were done. There was
professional excellence. However, the state as a state did not mobilize all its
abilities and all its skills to cope properly with the existential threat. Israel
Accordingly, as of now, the Iranian nuclear project has not been foiled politically, not been foiled economically and not been foiled clandestinely. Accordingly, as of now, under present conditions, to foil the Iranian nuclear project militarily appears adventurist and inapplicable. The likelihood is growing that in the years ahead the burden of foiling the Iranian nuclear project will pass from
Israel’s hands to those of the (which may or may not act). The risk is growing that United States ’s efforts to block Iranian
nuclearization will come to naught. Israel
The summer of 2011 was a summer of protest; the summer of 2012 was a summer of dread. Toward the end of the summer the dread faded. The more the public discussion about the Iranian issue seethed, the less likely it came to seem that
Israel would strike at already
this year. However, the truth is that no one knows what the truth is. Not even
the prime minister and the defense minister. The Iranian challenge has not
diminished. On the contrary: The risks embodied in Iranian nuclearization have
not lessened; they have intensified. So the countdown has not yet ended. It
will be renewed when the cloud of uncertainty evaporates and Iran will
again face the dilemma of its very existence. Israel
Posted by Mladen Andrijasevic at 2:02 AM
Friday, September 28, 2012
Joining me now to the reaction to the prime minister’s Netanyahu’s address -- two men with extensive foreign policy and military experience - John Bolton, who of course is the former US ambassador to the United Nations and a Fox News contributor and general Jack Keane who's a retired four star general, former vice chief of staff of the army and a Fox News military analyst.
You have some interesting thoughts on this. Number one, general, you were saying a shift in the timing, in terms of what the prime minister views as the ultimate date on
nuclear weapons program. Iran
Well, the prime minister consistently has been saying we are we're out of time and a number of months ago he said we have six to eight months left and I think now pushing that time line back to the spring or summer of next year is probably a little closer to where our current administration has it, I think our administration is actually beyond that time frame, but he has clearly moved closer to where this administration is that we do have more time.
And also you mentioned we, saw the prop that he had, you know, he actually busted up the prop, with the bomb and the fuse which does make you pay attention, I mean, some of us will think it's a little hokey, but it makes you pay attention, all three of us started looking.
And seems to be drawing the Red Line at they can't get beyond 90% uranium enrichment?
Yeah, I was surprised by that. I think if I was drawing that red line I’d draw it to when they begin to move to highly enriched uranium for weaponization, in other words, when you go from 20% to 90% you begin to move towards that and that I think gives you that weapon and why wait until they’ve completed it ,is where he's drawing that red line, if I understand what he is saying -- I think the use of that graphic is brilliant, to get people to understand what's really taken places here, in such a complicated sophisticated subject, he's broken it down I think so that any person can understand.
It reminds me of Saturday morning cartoons, that's how the bombs would look with a little fuse- anyone can get what he's trying to show us.
Ambassador Bolton -- your thoughts on this subject
Well I thought he made one very important point that people don't understand and that is that the economic sanctions may have caused
pain economically but they have not stopped or materially impeded the nuclear weapons
So, you can have sanctions till the cows come home.
is the most heavily sanctioned country on Earth, bar none, and it is already
exploded two nuclear devices. North Korea
And I think that's an important argument to make because people are prone to say just why don’t we just toughen the sanctions up a little bit.
Under his timeline, under the Netanyahu timeline the sanctions are not gonna bring Iran to its knees before they have crossed his red line, so I thought that point was important to make and I think people need to understand that especially if military action follows.
Where I think he made a mistake was on the Red Line I think I agree with Jack on that point. You know, the Security Council of the vaunted United Nations set a red line in 2006. It said stop all uranium enrichment activities. And
right past that red line effectively with no consequences for its nuclear
weapons program. So to me the very concept of a red line - it has dubious
effect because the Iranians have seen previous red lines repeatedly ignored Iran
We’ve seen in this country somewhat of a debate about what we should be doing with respect to
's nuclear program and we heard
a lot of it during the Republican primary quite frankly. Ron Paul was saying
what business is it of ours. If Iran
wants to develop a nuclear weapon and that's its business and we have no right
to tell them no. Iran
When we were listening to the prime minister you knew at one point his speech he was going to get to a quote from Bernard Lewis, and he did and the quote was something the effect of - for the Ayatollahs mutually assured destruction is not a deterrent to getting nuclear weapons it's an inducement to getting and using them.
Right, if you prize life in the hereafter more than you prize life on Earth the threat of being destroyed isn't going to deter you -- one thing you can say about the Communists during Cold War days is they were atheists they knew they were only going around once in life and they weren't about to throw it way too quickly.
That's not a calculus that applies to Iran and that's why the entire notion that it would be bad if Iran got nuclear weapons but we could contain and deter a nuclear Iran is delusional, very dangerous and even if I'm completely wrong on that, it doesn't stop with Iran, as secretary of state Clinton herself has said Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Turkey and perhaps others will get nuclear weapons as well making an already volatile region even more dangerous.
Yeah, I totally agree I think one of the great values of the speech was laying out the true threat of radical Islam and it not just threatens Israel, it threatens the world because of what their objectives are and we have a nation state of the espouses that as well and wants a nuclear weapon and a thirty year history here of terrorism killing us. I mean the last commander we had in Iraq believes that the Shiite militia, sponsored by the Iranians, trained by the Iranians in Iran, given weapons by the Iranians, killed close to two thousand of our 4400 American dead. Plus blew up two embassies plus blew up two barracks and then this nation takes on a nuclear weapon. I think his characterization of that threat and what that means not just of the region but to the world is absolutely clear. One of the best presentations I've seen on the subject
Thank you both so much. I appreciate you being here.
Posted by Mladen Andrijasevic at 6:54 AM
Thursday, September 27, 2012
It’s a pleasure to see the General Assembly presided by the Ambassador from
and it’s good to see all of you, distinguished delegates. Israel
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Three thousand years ago, King David reigned over the Jewish state in our eternal capital,
. I say that to all those who
proclaim that the Jewish state has no roots in our region and that it will soon
Throughout our history, the Jewish people have overcome all the tyrants who have sought our destruction. It’s their ideologies that have been discarded by history.
The people of
live on. We say in Hebrew Am Yisrael Chai, and the Jewish state
will live forever. Israel
The Jewish people have lived in the
for thousands of years. Even
after most of our people were exiled from it, Jews continued to live in the land of Israel throughout the ages. The masses
of our people never gave up the dreamed of returning to our ancient homeland. land of Israel
Defying the laws of history, we did just that. We ingathered the exiles, restored our independence and rebuilt our national life. The Jewish people have come home.
We will never be uprooted again.
Yesterday was Yom Kippur, the holiest day of the Jewish year.
Every year, for over three millennia, we have come together on this day of reflection and atonement. We take stock of our past. We pray for our future. We remember the sorrows of our persecution; we remember the great travails of our dispersion; we mourn the extermination of a third of our people, six million, in the Holocaust.
But at the end of Yom Kippur, we celebrate.
We celebrate the rebirth of
celebrate the heroism of our young men and women who have defended our people
with the indomitable courage of Joshua, David, and the Maccabees of old. We
celebrate the marvel of the flourishing modern Jewish state. Israel
, we walk the same paths
tread by our patriarchs Abraham, Isaac and Jacob. But we blaze new trails in science,
technology, medicine, agriculture. Israel
, the past and the future
find common ground. Israel
Unfortunately, that is not the case in many other countries. For today, a great battle is being waged between the modern and the medieval.
The forces of modernity seek a bright future in which the rights of all are protected, in which an ever-expanding digital library is available in the palm of every child, in which every life is sacred.
The forces of medievalism seek a world in which women and minorities are subjugated, in which knowledge is suppressed, in which not life but death is glorified.
These forces clash around the globe, but nowhere more starkly than in the
Recently, I was deeply moved when I visited Technion, one of our technological institutes in
, and I saw a man paralyzed from the
waist down climb up a flight of stairs, quite easily, with the aid of an
Israeli invention. Haifa
’s exceptional creativity is
matched by our people’s remarkable compassion. When disaster strikes anywhere
in the world – in Israel Haiti, Japan, , Turkey Indonesia and
elsewhere – Israeli doctors are among the first on the scene, performing
life-saving surgeries. India
In the past year, I lost both my father and my father-in-law. In the same hospital wards where they were treated, Israeli doctors were treating Palestinian Arabs. In fact, every year, thousands of Arabs from the Palestinian territories and Arabs from throughout the Middle East come to
to be treated in Israeli hospitals by Israeli doctors. Israel
I know you’re not going to hear that from speakers around this podium, but that’s the truth. It’s important that you are aware of this truth.
cherishes life, that
cherishes peace and seeks peace. Israel
We seek to preserve our historic ties and our historic peace treaties with
We seek to forge a durable peace with the Palestinians. Jordan
President Abbas just spoke here.
I say to him and I say to you:
We won’t solve our conflict with libelous speeches at the UN. That’s not the way to solve it. We won’t solve our conflict with unilateral declarations of statehood.
We have to sit together, negotiate together, and reach a mutual compromise, in which a demilitarized Palestinian state recognizes the one and only Jewish State.
Yet the medieval forces of radical Islam, whom you just saw storming the American embassies throughout the
Middle East, they oppose this.
They seek supremacy over all Muslims. They are bent on world conquest. They want to destroy
They want to extinguish freedom. They want to end the modern world. America
Militant Islam has many branches – from the rulers of
with their Revolutionary Guards to Al Qaeda terrorists to the radical cells
lurking in every part of the globe. Iran
But despite their differences, they are all rooted in the same bitter soil of intolerance. That intolerance is directed first at their fellow Muslims, and then to Christians, Jews, Buddhists, Hindus, secular people, anyone who doesn’t submit to their unforgiving creed.
They want to drag humanity back to an age of unquestioning dogma and unrelenting conflict.
I am sure of one thing. Ultimately they will fail. Ultimately, light will penetrate the darkness.
We’ve seen that happen before.
Some five hundred years ago, the printing press helped pry a cloistered
Europe out of a
dark age. Eventually, ignorance gave way to enlightenment.
So too, a cloistered
East will eventually yield to the irresistible power of freedom
and technology. When this happens, our region will be guided not by fanaticism
and conspiracy, but by reason and curiosity.
I think the relevant question is this: it’s not whether this fanaticism will be defeated. It’s how many lives will be lost before it’s defeated.
We’ve seen that happen before too.
Some 70 years ago, the world saw another fanatic ideology bent on world conquest. It went down in flames. But not before it took millions of people with it. Those who opposed that fanaticism waited too long to act. In the end they triumphed, but at an horrific cost.
My friends, we cannot let that happen again.
At stake is not merely the future of my own country. At stake is the future of the world. Nothing could imperil our common future more than the arming of
with nuclear weapons. Iran
To understand what the world would be like with a nuclear-armed
just imagine the world with a nuclear-armed Al-Qaeda. Iran
It makes no difference whether these lethal weapons are in the hands of the world’s most dangerous terrorist regime or the world’s most dangerous terrorist organization. They’re both fired by the same hatred; they’re both driven by the same lust for violence.
Just look at what the Iranian regime has done up till now, without nuclear weapons.
In 2009, they brutally put down mass protests for democracy in their own country. Today, their henchmen are participating in the slaughter of tens of thousands of Syrian civilians, including thousands of children, directly participating in this murder.
They abetted the killing of American soldiers in
continue to do so in .
Before that, Iranian proxies killed hundreds of American troops in Afghanistan Beirut and in . They’ve turned Saudi Arabia Lebanon and into terror strongholds, embedding
nearly 100,000 missiles and rockets in civilian areas. Thousands of these
rockets and missiles have already been fired at Israeli communities by their
terrorist proxies. Gaza
In the last year, they’ve spread their international terror networks to two dozen countries across five continents – from
India and Thailand to Kenya
They’ve even plotted to blow up a restaurant a few blocks from the White House
in order to kill a diplomat. Bulgaria
And of course,
rulers repeatedly deny the Holocaust and call for ’s destruction almost on a
daily basis, as they did again this week from the United Nations. Israel
So I ask you, given this record of Iranian aggression without nuclear weapons, just imagine Iranian aggression with nuclear weapons. Imagine their long range missiles tipped with nuclear warheads, their terror networks armed with atomic bombs.
Who among you would feel safe in the
Middle East? Who would be safe in Europe?
Who would be safe in ?
Who would be safe anywhere? America
There are those who believe that a nuclear-armed
Iran can be
deterred like the Soviet Union.
That’s a very dangerous assumption.
Militant Jihadists behave very differently from secular Marxists. There were no Soviet suicide bombers. Yet
hordes of them. Iran
Deterrence worked with the Soviets, because every time the Soviets faced a choice between their ideology and their survival, they chose their survival.
But deterrence may not work with the Iranians once they get nuclear weapons.
There’s a great scholar of the
East, Prof. Bernard Lewis, who put it best. He
said that for the Ayatollahs of Iran, mutually assured destruction is not a
deterrent, it’s an inducement.
That’s not just what they believe. That’s what is actually guiding their policies and their actions.
Just listen to Ayatollah Rafsanjani who said, I quote: ”The use of even one nuclear bomb inside
destroy everything, however it would only harm the Islamic world.” Israel
Rafsanjani said: “It is not irrational to contemplate such an eventuality.”
And that’s coming from one of the so-called moderates of
Shockingly, some people have begun to peddle the absurd notion that a nuclear-armed
actually stabilize the Middle East.
Shockingly, some people have begun to peddle the absurd notion that a nuclear-armed
That’s like saying a nuclear-armed Al-Qaeda would usher in an era of universal peace.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
I’ve been speaking about the need to prevent
from developing nuclear weapons for over 15 years. Iran
I spoke about it in my first term in office as Prime Minister, and then I spoke about it when I left office. I spoke about it when it was fashionable, and I spoke about it when it wasn’t fashionable.
I speak about it now because the hour is getting late, very late. I speak about it now because the Iranian nuclear calendar doesn’t take time out for anyone or for anything. I speak about it now because when it comes to the survival of my country, it’s not only my right to speak; it’s my duty to speak. And I believe that this is the duty of every responsible leader who wants to preserve world peace.
For nearly a decade, the international community has tried to stop the Iranian nuclear program with diplomacy.
That hasn’t worked.
For over seven years, the international community has tried sanctions with
. Under the leadership of
President Obama, the international community has passed some of the strongest
sanctions to date. Iran
I want to thank the governments represented here that have joined in this effort. It’s had an effect. Oil exports have been curbed and the Iranian economy has been hit hard.
It’s had an effect on the economy, but we must face the truth. Sanctions have not stopped
nuclear program either. Iran
It’s had an effect on the economy, but we must face the truth. Sanctions have not stopped
According to the International Atomic Energy Agency, during the last year alone,
has doubled the number of centrifuges in its underground nuclear facility in . Qom
At this late hour, there is only one way to peacefully prevent
from getting atomic bombs. That’s by placing a clear red line on Iran ’s nuclear
weapons program. Iran
Red lines don’t lead to war; red lines prevent war.
Look at NATO’s charter: it made clear that an attack on one member country would be considered an attack on all. NATO’s red line helped keep the peace in
for nearly half a century.
President Kennedy set a red line during the Cuban Missile Crisis. That red line also prevented war and helped preserve the peace for decades.
In fact, it’s the failure to place red lines that has often invited aggression.
If the Western powers had drawn clear red lines during the 1930s, I believe they would have stopped Nazi aggression and World War II might have been avoided.
In 1990, if Saddam Hussein had been clearly told that his conquest of
would cross a red line, the first Gulf War might have been avoided. Kuwait
Clear red lines have also worked with
Earlier this year,
to close the Straits of Hormouz. The Iran United
States drew a clear red line and backed
Red lines could be drawn in different parts of
nuclear weapons program. But to be credible, a red line must be drawn first and
foremost in one vital part of their program: on Iran ’s efforts to enrich uranium.
Now let me explain why: Iran
Basically, any bomb consists of explosive material and a mechanism to ignite it.
The simplest example is gunpowder and a fuse. That is, you light the fuse and set off the gunpowder.
In the case of
’s plans to build a nuclear
weapon, the gunpowder is enriched uranium. The fuse is a nuclear detonator. Iran
, amassing enough enriched
uranium is far more difficult than producing the nuclear fuse. Iran
For a country like
, it takes
many, many years to enrich uranium for a bomb. That requires thousands of
centrifuges spinning in tandem in very big industrial plants. Those Iranian
plants are visible and they’re still vulnerable. Iran
could produce the nuclear
detonator – the fuse – in a lot less time, maybe under a year, maybe only a few
The detonator can be made in a small workshop the size of a classroom. It may be very difficult to find and target that workshop, especially in
That’s a country that’s bigger than Iran France,
Germany, Italy and combined. Britain
The same is true for the small facility in which they could assemble a warhead or a nuclear device that could be placed in a container ship. Chances are you won’t find that facility either.
So in fact the only way that you can credibly prevent
developing a nuclear weapon, is to prevent from amassing enough enriched
uranium for a bomb. Iran
So, how much enriched uranium do you need for a bomb? And how close is
to getting it? Iran
Let me show you. I brought a diagram for you. Here’s the diagram.
This is a bomb; this is a fuse.
In the case of
’s nuclear plans to build a
bomb, this bomb has to be filled with enough enriched uranium. And Iran has to go
through three stages. Iran
The first stage: they have to enrich enough of low enriched uranium.
The second stage: they have to enrich enough medium enriched uranium.
And the third stage and final stage: they have to enrich enough high enriched uranium for the first bomb.
? Iran ’s completed the first stage.
It took them many years, but they completed it and they’re 70% of the way
Now they are well into the second stage. By next spring, at most by next summer at current enrichment rates, they will have finished the medium enrichment and move on to the final stage.
From there, it’s only a few months, possibly a few weeks before they get enough enriched uranium for the first bomb.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
Ladies and Gentlemen,
What I told you now is not based on secret information. It’s not based on military intelligence. It’s based on public reports by the International Atomic Energy Agency. Anybody can read them. They’re online.
So if these are the facts, and they are, where should the red line be drawn?
The red line should be drawn right here…………..
completes the second stage of
nuclear enrichment necessary to make a bomb. Iran
gets to a point where it’s a
few months away or a few weeks away from amassing enough enriched uranium to
make a nuclear weapon. Iran
Each day, that point is getting closer. That’s why I speak today with such a sense of urgency. And that’s why everyone should have a sense of urgency.
Some who claim that even if Iran completes the enrichment process, even if it crosses that red line that I just drew, our intelligence agencies will know when and where Iran will make the fuse, assemble the bomb, and prepare the warhead.
Look, no one appreciats our intelligence agencies more than the Prime Minister of
. All these leading
intelligence agencies are superb, including ours. They’ve foiled many attacks.
They’ve saved many lives. Israel
But they are not foolproof.
For over two years, our intelligence agencies didn’t know that
was building a huge nuclear enrichment plant under a mountain. Iran
Do we want to risk the security of the world on the assumption that we would find in time a small workshop in a country half the size of
Ladies and Gentlemen,
The relevant question is not when
will get the bomb. The relevant question is at
what stage can we no longer stop Iran from getting the bomb. Iran
The red line must be drawn on
enrichment program because these enrichment facilities are the only nuclear
installations that we can definitely see and credibly target. Iran
I believe that faced with a clear red line,
will back down. Iran
This will give more time for sanctions and diplomacy to convince
to dismantle its nuclear weapons program altogether. Iran
Two days ago, from this podium, President Obama reiterated that the threat of a nuclear-armed
cannot be contained. Iran
I very much appreciate the President’s position as does everyone in my country. We share the goal of stopping
weapons program. This goal unites the people of Iran . It unites Americans,
Democrats and Republicans alike and it is shared by important leaders
throughout the world. Israel
What I have said today will help ensure that this common goal is achieved.
Ladies and Gentlemen,
The clash between modernity and medievalism need not be a clash between progress and tradition.
The traditions of the Jewish people go back thousands of years. They are the source of our collective values and the foundation of our national strength.
At the same time, the Jewish people have always looked towards the future. Throughout history, we have been at the forefront of efforts to expand liberty, promote equality, and advance human rights.
We champion these principles not despite of our traditions but because of them.
We heed the words of the Jewish prophets Isaiah, Amos, and Jeremiah to treat all with dignity and compassion, to pursue justice and cherish life and to pray and strive for peace.
These are the timeless values of my people and these are the Jewish people’s greatest gift to mankind.
Let us commit ourselves today to defend these values so that we can defend our freedom and protect our common civilization.
Posted by Mladen Andrijasevic at 2:01 PM